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Applied and bridge studies study record
Methods & measurement

System-Welfare-Adjusted GDP and the Welfare Ledger: A Capture-Aware Measurement

CONTENT · Archive pendingSTATUS · Manuscript in progressSSRN · Not yet posted
Archive pending: this older foundational companion record is being superseded by the current top-100 core route. Treat the Decision Accounting papers, Missing System Theory papers, System Asset Pricing Model welfare ledger, and active core records as the production source of truth; use this record only as historical source material.
Open teaching deckSSRN — not yet postedPublication record
MECHANISM
Identify the incentive structure and the condition that would falsify the claim.
RULE CHANGE
Read the intervention only after the paper shows how the current payoff space fails to support system welfare.
READER USE
Use the summary to see where private gain creates system exposure, then check the study record.
Reading βW
βW means annual system-welfare loss divided by annual industry revenue Π. Revenue is the denominator, never profit, earnings, or net income; ΔW and Π must use the same domain, same time period, and same activity boundary. See the βW methodology manual.
Contribution — what this adds to the conversation
The paper's argument is that the practice is methodologically unsound in a specific, repairable sense: the aggregate level is planner-relative and capture-sensitive, but the sign and rank of the underlying damage coefficients are identified and robust. The paper proposes a measurement protocol that leads with what is identified, reports the level honestly as a calibration band, and makes the capture problem explicit rather than implicit. The question is straightforward
WHAT'S NEW · The paper turns the program's welfare bill into an auditable ledger format. It separates accounting architecture from unexecuted empirical calibration. The whole βW table — the total and the domain ordering alike — is conditional on the assumed price set: a large change in a key assumption can reorder domains as well as move the total, and every figure is preliminary. The domain βW table remains conditional on the stated price set.
Archive pending
Archive pending: this older foundational companion record is being superseded by the current top-100 core route. Treat the Decision Accounting papers, Missing System Theory papers, System Asset Pricing Model welfare ledger, and active core records as the production source of truth; use this record only as historical source material.
Use the theorem, source chapters, or teaching deck tabs for this work while the public summary is reconciled.