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Applied and bridge studies study record
Networks, information & disclosure

The Information-Exclusion Foundation: MST as an Off-Ledger Theorem

CONTENT · Archive pendingSTATUS · Manuscript in progressSSRN · Not yet posted
Archive pending: this older foundational companion record is being superseded by the current top-100 core route. Treat the Decision Accounting papers, Missing System Theory papers, System Asset Pricing Model welfare ledger, and active core records as the production source of truth; use this record only as historical source material.
Open teaching deckSSRN — not yet postedPublication record
MECHANISM
Identify the incentive structure and the condition that would falsify the claim.
RULE CHANGE
Read the intervention only after the paper shows how the current payoff space fails to support system welfare.
READER USE
Use the summary to see where private gain creates system exposure, then check the study record.
Reading βW
βW means annual system-welfare loss divided by annual industry revenue Π. Revenue is the denominator, never profit, earnings, or net income; ΔW and Π must use the same domain, same time period, and same activity boundary. See the βW methodology manual.
Contribution — what this adds to the conversation
The paper shows that system risk is not merely a missing market; it is an absent coordinate in the information set, and that absence has a distinct return signature separate from either the ICAPM or the missing-market account. The second literature is the economics of costly information and disclosure. Grossman and Stiglitz (1980) established that costly information prevents full revelation and creates rents; Verrecchia (1983) and Dye (1985) modeled the firm’s discretion to disclose or withhold
WHAT'S NEW · The same friction explains no ex-ante premium and a positive first-discloser rent. The system coordinate is absent from the financial statements firms file, not merely costly to estimate. Decision Accounting becomes the disclosure event that carries the coordinate. The measurement claim is rank/sign based, not level dependent.
Archive pending
Archive pending: this older foundational companion record is being superseded by the current top-100 core route. Treat the Decision Accounting papers, Missing System Theory papers, System Asset Pricing Model welfare ledger, and active core records as the production source of truth; use this record only as historical source material.
Use the theorem, source chapters, or teaching deck tabs for this work while the public summary is reconciled.