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CARIBBEAN
Haiti
8 domains mapped · Code: HT
These are jurisdiction-specific research-progress records. They expose first moves, likely actors, and institutional infrastructure where mapped; they are not a claim that every country has a finished statutory memo for all 61 domains.
NON-UNITED STATES TRANSLATION RULE
For countries with fewer than 10 mapped domains, use the United States 61-domain map as the reference corpus, then translate only domains with locally verified regulators, authority hooks, statutes, or dockets.
Fragile state ($25.2B GDP) — Western Hemisphere's poorest country. Agriculture at 15.9% GDP (coffee, mangoes, cocoa). Extreme deforestation (2% forest cover remaining). Gang violence and political instability. Manufacturing at 26.2% GDP (garment assembly).
DOMAINS (8)
Monoculture Agriculture
βW = 6.62
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Industrial Monoculture. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti's near-total deforestation (98% forest loss) means any remaining agriculture operates on severely degraded land. The system dependence is already partially broken — Haiti has experienced the endpoint of deforestation-driven agricultural collapse. Reforestation is the intervention.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Reform agricultural support to incentivize tree planting and agroforestry. When hillside farmers receive more support for tree crops (coffee, cocoa, fruit) than annual crops on degraded slopes, the overlapping interest in continue...
A2Satellite monitoring of remaining forest cover and soil erosion published at commune level. Making degradation visible makes W computable.
A3Extreme system dependence — 98% forest loss means agricultural activity on degraded slopes directly causes erosion, flooding, and further land degradation. Reforestation is the only path to reducing system dependence.
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Document deforestation through community organizations
MDE (Ministère de l'Environnement) — the environment ministry, severely under-resourced. Note: Haiti's state institutions are largely non-functional due to the ongoing security and...
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
International agricultural companies: Support sustainable supply chains from Haiti
Haiti's private sector is small. The Chambre de Commerce d'Haïti coordinates business activities. International NGOs (Partners in Health, Trees for the Future) implement many devel...
Regulator / Agency
regulator
MDE: Enforce (to extent possible) remaining forest protections
MARNDR (Ministère de l'Agriculture, des Ressources Naturelles et du Développement Rural) — the agriculture ministry. ONEV (Observatoire National de l'Environnement et de la Vulnéra...
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
Support international reforestation and land restoration programs for Haiti
Note: Haiti's democratic institutions are non-functional — no elected parliament since 2023, no elected president. Transitional governance is underway. International channels: UN I...
Firearms (gang arms trafficking)
βW = 21.98
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Firearms. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Gangs control most of Port-au-Prince through firearms almost entirely smuggled from the United States via the Miami River and Haitian ports, while Haiti produces no guns and has banned most imports. The supply chain is external and traceable, which makes interdiction a real lever rather than a domestic-manufacturing problem.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Tighten US export and straw-purchase enforcement at Florida ports of departure under the UN arms embargo on Haitian gang figures
A2Stand up container scanning and end-use auditing at Port-au-Prince and Cap-Haïtien customs with international support
A3Sanction and freeze assets of the financiers and politicians who fund arms shipments
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Customs and port-authority staff document falsified manifests and bribe demands on inbound containers
Administration Générale des Douanes (AGD), Autorité Portuaire Nationale (APN), UN Panel of Experts on Haiti
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Banks apply enhanced due diligence on importers and shipping agents flagged for arms diversion
Banque de la République d'Haïti (BRH), Unité Centrale de Renseignements Financiers (UCREF)
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Haitian National Police and customs deploy scanning and joint inspection at main ports
Police Nationale d'Haïti (PNH), US Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF), US Department of Homeland Security
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
UN Security Council enforces and expands the arms embargo and targeted sanctions on Haitian gang financiers
UN Security Council (Resolution 2653 sanctions regime), CARICOM IMPACS, Arms Trade Treaty
Deforestation & Logging (charcoal economy)
βW = 0.88
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Deforestation & Industrial Logging. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Roughly 70 percent of Haitian households cook with charcoal and firewood, driving forest cover below 4 percent and stripping watersheds that then flood and silt farmland downstream. The private gain is cheap household fuel and charcoal-trader margins, while the lost soil retention and flood protection fall on everyone, and substitute fuels exist.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Subsidize liquefied petroleum gas and improved cookstoves to reduce charcoal demand, paired with reforestation payments
A2Regulate and license charcoal production with reforestation quotas
A3Not addressable from inside the existing arrangement
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Forestry agents and farmers map illegal cutting sites and charcoal kiln networks
Ministère de l'Environnement, Direction des Ressources Forestières
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Development banks finance LPG distribution and clean-cookstove supply chains
Inter-American Development Bank, World Bank, Green Climate Fund
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Ministry of Environment enforces protected-area boundaries and charcoal transport permits
Ministère de l'Environnement, Ministère de l'Agriculture, des Ressources Naturelles et du Développement Rural (MARNDR)
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
FAO supports national forest monitoring and sustainable land-management programs
UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), UNFCCC REDD+ framework, Paris Agreement
Topsoil Erosion
βW = 3.29
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Topsoil Erosion. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti loses an estimated tens of millions of tonnes of topsoil per year off deforested mountain slopes, cutting crop yields and burying coastal reefs and irrigation systems in silt. Farmers clearing marginal hillsides capture a short-term harvest while the eroded soil and downstream damage are borne by the whole watershed, and contour terracing and tree cover can hold it.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Fund contour terracing, check dams, and agroforestry on degraded watersheds with cash-for-work programs
A2Provide secure land tenure so farmers invest in soil conservation rather than mine the slope
A3Not addressable from inside the existing arrangement
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Agronomists document yield collapse and gully formation in target watersheds
MARNDR, Direction Départementale Agricole field offices
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Development finance backs watershed restoration and cash-for-work terracing at scale
Inter-American Development Bank, International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Agriculture ministry mandates and supports contour farming in priority basins
MARNDR, Office National du Cadastre (ONACA)
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
FAO provides technical standards and monitoring for sustainable land management
UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), UN Convention to Combat Desertification (UNCCD)
Fisheries / Overfishing (coastal reefs)
βW = 1.11
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Fisheries. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti's artisanal fleet of tens of thousands of small boats fishes depleted, silted reefs because there are few alternatives and no enforced catch limits, collapsing the stock that coastal communities depend on for protein. The daily catch is a private survival gain while the exhausted reef and lost food security are shared, and managed reserves have rebuilt nearby Caribbean stocks.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Establish and enforce no-take marine protected areas with community co-management and fish-aggregating devices offshore
A2Provide off-reef gear and seasonal closures to let stocks recover
A3Not addressable from inside the existing arrangement
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Fisher cooperatives report destructive gear and reserve poaching
Direction des Pêches et de l'Aquaculture (MARNDR), local fisher associations
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Blue-economy and conservation funds finance fish-aggregating devices and alternative livelihoods
World Bank, Caribbean Biodiversity Fund
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Fisheries directorate designates marine protected areas and enforces seasonal closures
Direction des Pêches et de l'Aquaculture, Garde-Côtes Haïtiens
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
FAO and CRFM support regional stock assessment and management standards
UN Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO), Caribbean Regional Fisheries Mechanism (CRFM), CARICOM
Plastics (waste and import packaging)
βW = 5.42
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Plastics and Petrochemical Waste. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti imports packaged goods and single-use sachets with almost no collection or recycling infrastructure, so plastic clogs the canals of Port-au-Prince and worsens the flooding that kills people in storms. Importers and retailers capture the convenience while the clogged drainage and choked coastline are borne by the city, and a sachet ban plus collection systems are achievable.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Enforce and extend the ban on single-use plastic bags and foam, with extended producer responsibility on importers
A2Build municipal collection and informal-sector recycling pathways funded by import levies
A3Not addressable from inside the existing arrangement
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Customs and sanitation workers report banned-plastic imports and dumping sites
Service Métropolitain de Collecte des Résidus Solides (SMCRS), Administration Générale des Douanes
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Impact investors finance recycling enterprises and waste-collection logistics
Société Financière Internationale (IFC), Banque de la République d'Haïti
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Environment ministry enforces the single-use plastics ban at ports and markets
Ministère de l'Environnement, mairie de Port-au-Prince, SMCRS
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
Support Haiti's participation in the UN Global Plastics Treaty negotiations
UN Environment Programme (UNEP), Basel Convention, UN Global Plastics Treaty process
Insurance & Climate Risk (uninsured disasters)
βW = 2.26
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Insurance & Climate Risk Mispricing. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti sits on a hurricane track and a major fault line yet carries almost no private property or crop insurance, so each earthquake and storm wipes out household assets and forces the state to rebuild from nothing. Insurers and the treasury avoid pricing the risk in the short run while uninsured families and the public budget absorb every disaster, and parametric pools already cover neighboring Caribbean states.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Join and fund parametric sovereign insurance through the Caribbean catastrophe risk pool for rapid post-disaster payouts
A2Develop microinsurance for farmers and small businesses backed by donor reinsurance
A3Mandate risk-based building codes so insurable, resilient stock can grow
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Insurance regulators and adjusters expose underpriced or unfunded disaster exposure
Banque de la République d'Haïti (insurance supervision), Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Reinsurers and development finance capitalize a Haitian microinsurance and catastrophe pool
World Bank, Inter-American Development Bank, Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF)
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Finance ministry buys sovereign parametric coverage and pre-arranges disaster financing
Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances, Direction de la Protection Civile
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
CCRIF provides parametric payouts to Haiti after hurricanes and earthquakes
Caribbean Catastrophe Risk Insurance Facility (CCRIF SPC), UNFCCC Loss and Damage Fund
Sovereign Debt
βW = 4.67
Canonical domain beta-W
Canonical domain beta-W from Sovereign Debt & Intergenerational Extraction. Local route severity is a country-route triage value and is not used in the aggregate portfolio.
Axiom 1
Axiom 2
Axiom 3
PRIMARY ROUTE:Haiti carries heavy obligations to the central bank and bilateral lenders even as it lacks fiscal space for basic services, and monetary financing of deficits has fueled inflation that erodes household purchasing power. Creditors and short-term budget managers gain liquidity now while citizens absorb inflation and crowded-out public investment, and concessional restructuring is on the table for fragile states.
4 actor-lane actions mapped
GAME-CHANGE ROUTES
A1Negotiate concessional restructuring and debt relief for a fragile state through the IMF and bilateral creditors
A2Stop central-bank monetary financing of the deficit and rebuild a credible fiscal anchor
A3Not addressable from inside the existing arrangement
ACTOR-LANE ACTIONS
Insider / Whistleblower
insider
Treasury and central-bank staff expose off-budget borrowing and monetary financing of deficits
Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances, Cour Supérieure des Comptes et du Contentieux Administratif
Investor / Capital Allocator
investor
Bilateral and multilateral creditors offer grants and concessional terms over commercial debt
Inter-American Development Bank, World Bank International Development Association (IDA)
Regulator / Agency
regulator
Central bank ends deficit monetization and enforces a borrowing ceiling
Banque de la République d'Haïti, Ministère de l'Économie et des Finances
Policymakers / Treaty Forum
supranational
IMF structures a concessional program with fiscal and governance conditionality
International Monetary Fund, Paris Club, World Bank
REFORM PATHFINDER
Actor-lane actions and institutional infrastructure for Haiti
POLICY LAB
Country-specific policy options for the mapped domains in Haiti; full 61-domain coverage is the program table, not a claim about this route.
© 2026 Erik Postnieks · Independent Researcher · Salt Lake City